Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgrano win with a probability of 45.06%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Barracas Central had a probability of 26.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Belgrano win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.99%) and 1-2 (8.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.96%), while for a Barracas Central win it was 1-0 (9.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.