Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Asteras Tripolis win with a probability of 47.62%. A draw had a probability of 28.6% and a win for Panetolikos had a probability of 23.79%.
The most likely scoreline for an Asteras Tripolis win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.05%) and 2-1 (8.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.81%), while for a Panetolikos win it was 0-1 (9.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Asteras Tripolis would win this match.