Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ludogorets Razgrad win with a probability of 44.23%. A win for Anderlecht had a probability of 31.42% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ludogorets Razgrad win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.59%) and 0-2 (6.91%). The likeliest Anderlecht win was 2-1 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Anderlecht in this match.