Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Hilal win with a probability of 53.38%. A win for Al Shabab had a probability of 25.93% and a draw had a probability of 20.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Hilal win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.55%) and 0-2 (6.23%). The likeliest Al Shabab win was 2-1 (6.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Al-Hilal in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Al-Hilal.