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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forest Green Rovers win with a probability of 38.44%. A win for Scunthorpe United had a probability of 35.21% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Forest Green Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.38%) and 0-2 (6.61%). The likeliest Scunthorpe United win was 1-0 (9.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Forest Green Rovers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Scunthorpe United | Draw | Forest Green Rovers |
| 35.21% | 26.34% | 38.44% |
| Both teams to score 52.98% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.28% | 51.72% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.5% | 73.5% |
| Scunthorpe United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.85% | 28.14% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.17% | 63.83% |
| Forest Green Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.73% | 26.27% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.62% | 61.38% |
| Score Analysis |
| Scunthorpe United | Draw | Forest Green Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 9.37% 2-1 @ 7.94% 2-0 @ 5.94% 3-1 @ 3.36% 3-0 @ 2.51% 3-2 @ 2.24% 4-1 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.78% Total : 35.21% | 1-1 @ 12.52% 0-0 @ 7.39% 2-2 @ 5.31% 3-3 @ 1% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.34% | 0-1 @ 9.88% 1-2 @ 8.38% 0-2 @ 6.61% 1-3 @ 3.73% 0-3 @ 2.94% 2-3 @ 2.37% 1-4 @ 1.25% 0-4 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.3% Total : 38.44% |