Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol Rovers win with a probability of 40.8%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 31.24% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bristol Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.29%) and 2-0 (7.75%). The likeliest Salford City win was 0-1 (10.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bristol Rovers in this match.