Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 51.04%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 23.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.75%) and 2-1 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.08%), while for a Plymouth Argyle win it was 0-1 (7.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Ipswich Town in this match.