Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cork City win with a probability of 46.74%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Dundalk had a probability of 25.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cork City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.27%) and 2-1 (8.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.76%), while for a Dundalk win it was 0-1 (9.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cork City in this match.