Reysol

5 - 1

Tokushima Vortis

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashiwa Reysol win with a probability of 47.21%. A win for Tokushima Vortis had a probability of 27.19% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kashiwa Reysol win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.27%) and 2-0 (8.5%). The likeliest Tokushima Vortis win was 0-1 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kashiwa Reysol would win this match.