J1 League Gameweek 18
Apr 14, 2021 10.00am
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Ryosuke Shindo 34' goal
  • goal Taisei Miyashiro 15'
  • goal Ryuya Nishio 90' (OG)

Cerezo Osaka vs Tokushima Vortis - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Cerezo Osaka

All competitions
Last game
Apr 10, 2021 7.00am
Cerezo 2 - 2 Avispa Fukuoka
Goals scored
47
Top scorer
Mutsuki Kato

Tokushima Vortis

All competitions
Last game
Apr 11, 2021 8.00am
Urawa 1 - 0 Tokushima Vortis
Goals scored
34
Top scorer
Yuki Kakita

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerezo Osaka win with a probability of 51.03%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Tokushima Vortis had a probability of 23.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cerezo Osaka win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.9%) and 2-1 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.16%), while for a Tokushima Vortis win it was 0-1 (7.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result

Cerezo Osaka 51.03%
Draw 25.76%
Tokushima Vortis 23.21%

Both Teams to Score: 

47.76%

Goals

Over 2.5 44.87%
Under 2.5 55.14%
Over 3.5 23.62%
Under 3.5 76.38%

Cerezo Osaka Goals

Over 0.5 78.35%
Under 0.5 21.65%
Over 1.5 45.22%
Under 1.5 54.78%

Tokushima Vortis Goals

Over 0.5 60.96%
Under 0.5 39.04%
Over 1.5 24.24%
Under 1.5 75.76%

Score analysis

Cerezo Osaka 51.03%
Draw 25.76%
Tokushima Vortis 23.21%
Cerezo Osaka
1-0 @ 12.93%
2-0 @ 9.9%
2-1 @ 9.31%
3-0 @ 5.05%
3-1 @ 4.75%
3-2 @ 2.23%
4-0 @ 1.93%
4-1 @ 1.82%
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 51.03%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.16%
0-0 @ 8.45%
2-2 @ 4.38%
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 25.76%
Tokushima Vortis
0-1 @ 7.95%
1-2 @ 5.72%
0-2 @ 3.74%
1-3 @ 1.79%
2-3 @ 1.37%
0-3 @ 1.17%
Other @ 1.46%
Total : 23.21%