J1 League Gameweek 5
Mar 17, 2021 10.00am
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Daichi Hayashi 29' goal
  • Masaya Tashiro 54' yellowcard
  • Daichi Hayashi 64' goal

Sagan Tosu vs Kashiwa Reysol - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Sagan Tosu

All competitions
Last game
Mar 14, 2021 5.00am
Shimizu S-Pulse 0 - 0 Sagan Tosu
Goals scored
43
Top scorer
Keita Yamashita

Kashiwa Reysol

All competitions
Last game
Mar 13, 2021 8.00am
Kawasaki 1 - 0 Reysol
Goals scored
37
Top scorer
Cristiano da Silva

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sagan Tosu win with a probability of 40.44%. A win for Kashiwa Reysol had a probability of 32.89% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sagan Tosu win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.55%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Kashiwa Reysol win was 0-1 (9.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sagan Tosu would win this match.

Result

Sagan Tosu 40.44%
Draw 26.67%
Kashiwa Reysol 32.89%

Both Teams to Score: 

51.48%

Goals

Over 2.5 46.56%
Under 2.5 53.44%
Over 3.5 25.04%
Under 3.5 74.96%

Sagan Tosu Goals

Over 0.5 74.03%
Under 0.5 25.97%
Over 1.5 39.02%
Under 1.5 60.98%

Kashiwa Reysol Goals

Over 0.5 69.54%
Under 0.5 30.46%
Over 1.5 33.32%
Under 1.5 66.67%

Score analysis

Sagan Tosu 40.44%
Draw 26.66%
Kashiwa Reysol 32.89%
Sagan Tosu
1-0 @ 10.66%
2-1 @ 8.55%
2-0 @ 7.19%
3-1 @ 3.84%
3-0 @ 3.23%
3-2 @ 2.28%
4-1 @ 1.3%
4-0 @ 1.09%
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 40.44%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.67%
0-0 @ 7.91%
2-2 @ 5.08%
Other @ 1%
Total : 26.66%
Kashiwa Reysol
0-1 @ 9.4%
1-2 @ 7.53%
0-2 @ 5.59%
1-3 @ 2.99%
0-3 @ 2.21%
2-3 @ 2.01%
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 32.89%

Head to Head

J1 League Gameweek 33
Nov 21, 2020 6.00am
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Hidekazu Otani 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Richardson 84' yellowcard
  • Michael Olunga 87' goal
  • goal Daichi Hayashi 53'
  • goal Fuchi Honda 66'
J1 League Gameweek 14
Sep 13, 2020 10.45am
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Daichi Hayashi 45' goal
  • Riki Harakawa 48' goal
  • Yong-Gi Ryang 83' yellowcard
  • goal Michael Olunga 25'
  • yellowcard Masatoshi Mihara 59'
  • yellowcard Hayato Nakama 82'
  • yellowcard Richardson 88'