Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hapoel Haifa win with a probability of 41.76%. A win for Maccabi Netanya had a probability of 32.2% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hapoel Haifa win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.78%) and 0-2 (7.24%). The likeliest Maccabi Netanya win was 1-0 (8.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hapoel Haifa would win this match.