Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guinea win with a probability of 42.95%. A win for Togo had a probability of 29.35% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guinea win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.32%) and 0-2 (8.13%). The likeliest Togo win was 1-0 (9.64%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.