Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ujpest win with a probability of 39.99%. A win for Debrecen had a probability of 36.29% and a draw had a probability of 23.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ujpest win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.15%) and 0-2 (5.16%). The likeliest Debrecen win was 2-1 (8.45%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.