Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Panathinaikos win with a probability of 73.09%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Panetolikos had a probability of 9.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Panathinaikos win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.43%) and 3-0 (10.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.28%), while for a Panetolikos win it was 0-1 (3.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 14.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Panathinaikos in this match.