Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Olympiacos win with a probability of 78.57%. A draw had a probability of 14% and a win for Asteras Tripolis had a probability of 7.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Olympiacos win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.06%) and 1-0 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.66%), while for an Asteras Tripolis win it was 0-1 (2.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Olympiacos would win this match.