Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aris Thessaloniki win with a probability of 49.63%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Atromitos had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aris Thessaloniki win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.85%) and 2-1 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.44%), while for an Atromitos win it was 0-1 (8.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aris Thessaloniki would win this match.