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Goias
Brasileiro | Gameweek 21
Nov 14, 2020 at 8pm UK
Estadio da Serrinha
Athletico Paranaense

Goias
0 - 1
Athletico PR


Duarte (28'), Chico (40'), Moura (76'), Pintado (85'), Fernandao (90')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Kayzer (20')
Nikao (34')

Preview: Goias vs. Athletico Paranaense - prediction, team news, form guide

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Brasileiro clash between Goias and Athletico Paranaense, including predictions, team news and form guide.

Two teams in desperate need of the points will lock horns in the Brazilian Serie A on Saturday night with Goias welcoming Athletico Paranaense to Estadio da Serrinha.

Goias are currently bottom of the table with just 12 points to show from their 18 league games this season, while Athletico are 19th, having picked up just 19 points from 19 matches.


Match preview

Enderson Moreira, now in charge of Goias, pictured in 2011© Reuters

Goias finished 10th in the top flight last season on their return to this level of football, but they are facing the possibility of dropping back into Serie B, with Verdao currently bottom of the table.

Enderson Moreira's team have only won two of their 18 league games this season, picking up just 12 points to occupy 20th spot in the table, eight points from the safety of 16th position.

Goias have not actually won in the league since picking up an impressive three points at home to Internacional on September 13 - a run that stretches back 10 matches.

Moreira's side drew their last home league game against Vasco da Gama at the start of the month, but they will enter this weekend's match off the back of a 2-1 loss to Sao Paulo on November 7.

Athletico Paranaense players celebrate Richard's goal in October 2020© Reuters

Athletico, meanwhile, have also struggled for results this season, picking up just 19 points from their 19 matches to sit 19th in the table, one point from 16th-placed Bragantino.

El Paranaense have finished seventh and fifth respectively in their last two top-flight campaigns and therefore it would be a huge surprise if they dropped out of Serie A for the first time since 2012.

Paulo Autuori's team picked up an important 2-1 win over Fortaleza last weekend, which proved to be their first victory in the league since overcoming Bahia at the end of September.

Saturday's contest is even more important for Athletico considering that they have Atletico Mineiro, Santos, Palmeiras and Fluminense in their next four during an incredibly difficult run of matches.

Furacao have won two of their last three games with Goias, including a 2-1 victory in the reverse match earlier this season, but they suffered a 2-1 loss in the corresponding fixture last term.

Goias Brasileiro form: LDDLDL

Athletico Paranaense Brasileiro form: LLDLLW
Athletico Paranaense form (all competitions): LLLLLW


Team News

Goias's Vinicius Lopes celebrates with teammates after scoring in October 2020© Reuters

Goias

Out: Breno (suspension)
Doubtful: Henrique Almeida (unspecified)

Athletico Paranaense

Out: Vitinho (muscle)
Doubtful: Jonathan (muscle)


SM words green background

We say: Goias 1-1 Athletico Paranaense

Goias have won each of their last five home league games with Athletico, but it is tough to back the hosts on this occasion due to their struggles. Athletico picked up an excellent victory over Fortaleza last time out, but they do not travel particularly well - losing six of their last seven on the road - and we are therefore finding it difficult to separate the two teams here.


Top betting tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 3.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 3.5:data


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Written by
Matt Law

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Goias win with a probability of 37.37%. A win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 35.53% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Goias win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.11%) and 2-0 (6.63%). The likeliest Athletico Paranaense win was 0-1 (10.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.


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Game History

Who will win Saturday's clash between Goias and Athletico Paranaense?

Goias
28.6%
Draw
71.4%
Athletico Paranaense
0.0%
7
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Bayern Munich's Brazilain defender Breno sits on the bench during the German first division Bundesliga football match FC Bayern Munich vs VfL Wolfsburg in the southern German city of Munich on January 28, 2012
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Today's games header
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Botafogo382310559293079
2PalmeirasPalmeiras38227960332773
3FlamengoFlamengo382010861421970
4FortalezaFortaleza381911853391468
5InternacionalInternacional381811953361765
6Sao Paulo381781353431059
7Corinthians381511125445956
8Bahia38158154949053
9Cruzeiro381410144341252
10Vasco da GamaVasco38148164356-1350
11Vitoria38138174552-747
12Atletico Mineiro381114134754-747
13Fluminense381210163339-646
14Gremio38129174450-645
15JuventudeJuventude381112154859-1145
16BragantinoBragantino381014144448-444
17Athletico ParanaenseAthletico PR38119184046-642
18CriciumaCriciuma38911184261-1938
19Atletico GoianienseAtletico GO3879222958-2930
20Cuiaba38612202949-2030


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