Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hammarby Talang win with a probability of 42.58%. A win for Vasalund had a probability of 32.55% and a draw had a probability of 24.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hammarby Talang win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.49%) and 0-2 (6.3%). The likeliest Vasalund win was 2-1 (7.52%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.