Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vasalund win with a probability of 43.53%. A win for Karlberg had a probability of 32.38% and a draw had a probability of 24.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vasalund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.65%) and 2-0 (6.2%). The likeliest Karlberg win was 1-2 (7.16%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.