Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambuur win with a probability of 42.75%. A win for VVV-Venlo had a probability of 36.01% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cambuur win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.29%) and 2-3 (4.8%). The likeliest VVV-Venlo win was 2-1 (7.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cambuur would win this match.

Result
VVV-Venlo	Draw	Cambuur
36.01% ( -0.04)	21.23% ( -0.01)	42.75% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 72.15% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

73.04% (

0.06)

26.96% (

-0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

52.56% (

0.07)

47.44% (

-0.08)

VVV-Venlo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.67% (

0.01)

16.32% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.08% (

0.02)

45.91% (

-0.02)

Cambuur Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.23% (

0.04)

13.76% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.94% (

0.08)

41.06% (

-0.08)

Score Analysis

VVV-Venlo 36.01%

Cambuur 42.75%

Draw 21.23%

VVV-Venlo	Draw	Cambuur
2-1 @ 7.32% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.42% ( -0) 3-2 @ 4.39% ( 0) 1-0 @ 4.07% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 3.69% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.23% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.99% ( 0) 4-3 @ 1.31% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.01% ( -0) Other @ 3.58% Total : 36.01%	1-1 @ 8.08% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 7.26% 3-3 @ 2.9% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 2.25% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.76% Total : 21.23%	1-2 @ 8.01% ( -0) 1-3 @ 5.29% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 4.8% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 4.46% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.42% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.92% ( 0) 1-4 @ 2.63% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 2.38% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.45% ( 0) 3-4 @ 1.44% ( 0.01) 1-5 @ 1.04% ( 0) 2-5 @ 0.94% ( 0) Other @ 2.98% Total : 42.75%