Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambuur win with a probability of 42.75%. A win for VVV-Venlo had a probability of 36.01% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cambuur win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.29%) and 2-3 (4.8%). The likeliest VVV-Venlo win was 2-1 (7.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cambuur would win this match.