Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haka win with a probability of 47.86%. A win for TPV had a probability of 30.16% and a draw had a probability of 21.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Haka win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.17%) and 0-2 (6.38%). The likeliest TPV win was 2-1 (6.79%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.