Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SV Ried win with a probability of 46.3%. A win for WSPG Wels had a probability of 27.9% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a SV Ried win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.57%) and 2-0 (7.43%). The likeliest WSPG Wels win was 0-1 (7.27%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.