Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SV Ried win with a probability of 42.68%. A win for BW Linz had a probability of 32.82% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a SV Ried win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.21%) and 0-2 (6.29%). The likeliest BW Linz win was 2-1 (7.26%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.76%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.