Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Irtysh win with a probability of 37.09%. A win for Spartak Kostroma had a probability of 33.8% and a draw had a probability of 29.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Irtysh win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.34%) and 0-2 (6.39%). The likeliest Spartak Kostroma win was 1-0 (9.12%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.