Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sokol Saratov win with a probability of 37.44%. A win for KDV had a probability of 32.57% and a draw had a probability of 29.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sokol Saratov win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.74%) and 2-0 (6.51%). The likeliest KDV win was 0-1 (10.38%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.