Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SSV Ulm win with a probability of 60.7%. A win for Schwabmünchen had a probability of 20.04% and a draw had a probability of 19.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a SSV Ulm win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.12%) and 0-1 (6.62%). The likeliest Schwabmünchen win was 2-1 (5.09%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.