Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raufoss win with a probability of 50.17%. A win for Mjondalen had a probability of 26.29% and a draw had a probability of 23.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Raufoss win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.49%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Mjondalen win was 1-2 (6.49%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.5%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.