Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pors Grenland win with a probability of 39.19%. A win for Ørn Horten had a probability of 36.59% and a draw had a probability of 24.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pors Grenland win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.6%) and 2-0 (5.18%). The likeliest Ørn Horten win was 1-2 (7.75%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.4%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.