Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki win with a probability of 38.91%. A win for Olimpia Grudziadz had a probability of 36.97% and a draw had a probability of 24.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.53%) and 2-0 (5.02%). The likeliest Olimpia Grudziadz win was 1-2 (7.56%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.