Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montana win with a probability of 44.09%. A draw had a probability of 31.06% and a win for Leningradets had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montana win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.54%) and 2-1 (8.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.26%) , while for a Leningradets win it was 0-1 (9.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.