Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montana win with a probability of 40.3%. A draw had a probability of 31.66% and a win for KF Llapi had a probability of 28.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montana win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.83%) and 2-1 (7.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.92%) , while for a KF Llapi win it was 0-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.