Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Groningen win with a probability of 76.81%. A draw had a probability of 14.3% and a win for Heracles had a probability of 8.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Groningen win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.78%) and 2-1 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.65%), while for a Heracles win it was 1-2 (2.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Groningen in this match.