Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Deportivo Pantoja win with a probability of 46.79%. A draw had a probability of 27.02% and a win for Las Vegas Lights had a probability of 26.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Deportivo Pantoja win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (8.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.04%) , while for a Las Vegas Lights win it was 0-1 (8.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.