Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chemnitzer win with a probability of 52.79%. A win for Plauen had a probability of 25.29% and a draw had a probability of 21.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chemnitzer win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.63%) and 2-0 (7.59%). The likeliest Plauen win was 1-2 (6.04%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.37%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.