Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botev Vratsa win with a probability of 65.11%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Spartak Pleven had a probability of 12.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Botev Vratsa win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.87%) and 2-1 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.63%) , while for a Spartak Pleven win it was 0-1 (5.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.