Europa League
Dec 11, 2025 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Philipp Lienhart 50' goal
  • Lukas Kubler 80' yellowcard
  • Yuito Suzuki 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Petar Ratkov 35'
  • redcard Petar Ratkov 37'
  • redcard Petar Ratkov 38'
  • yellowcard Stefan Lainer 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Stefan Lainer 46'

Freiburg vs Red Bull Salzburg - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Freiburg

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Nov 27, 2025 5.45pm
Plzen 0 - 0 Freiburg

Red Bull Salzburg

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Nov 27, 2025 8.00pm
Bologna 4 - 1 Salzburg

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Red Bull Salzburg win with a probability of 39.17%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 37% and a draw had a probability of 23.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Red Bull Salzburg win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.08%) and 0-2 (5.58%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 2-1 (8.25%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.

Result

Freiburg 37%
Draw 23.83%
Red Bull Salzburg 39.17%

Both Teams to Score: 

62.1%

Goals

Over 2.5 59.96%
Under 2.5 40.04%
Over 3.5 37.59%
Under 3.5 62.4%
Over 4.5 20.24%
Under 4.5 79.76%

Freiburg Goals

Over 0.5 78.27%
Under 0.5 21.72%
Over 1.5 45.11%
Under 1.5 54.89%

Red Bull Salzburg Goals

Over 0.5 79.33%
Under 0.5 20.66%
Over 1.5 46.75%
Under 1.5 53.25%

Score analysis

Freiburg 37%
Draw 23.82%
Red Bull Salzburg 39.17%
Freiburg
2-1 @ 8.25%
1-0 @ 6.85%
2-0 @ 5.23%
3-1 @ 4.2%
3-2 @ 3.31%
3-0 @ 2.66%
4-1 @ 1.6%
4-2 @ 1.26%
4-0 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 37%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.8%
2-2 @ 6.5%
0-0 @ 4.49%
3-3 @ 1.74%
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 23.82%
Red Bull Salzburg
1-2 @ 8.52%
0-1 @ 7.08%
0-2 @ 5.58%
1-3 @ 4.48%
2-3 @ 3.42%
0-3 @ 2.93%
1-4 @ 1.77%
2-4 @ 1.35%
0-4 @ 1.16%
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 39.17%