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Europa League | League Stage
Dec 11, 2025 at 8pm UK
 
Red Bull Salzburg

1-0

Lienhart (50')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Ratkov (38')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Freiburg and Red Bull Salzburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Freiburg 1-1 Dortmund
Sunday, December 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Next Game: Wolfsburg vs. Freiburg
Saturday, December 20 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
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Last Game: Salzburg 2-1 Wolfsberger
Sunday, December 14 at 1.30pm in Austrian Bundesliga
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Red Bull Salzburg win with a probability of 39.17%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 37% and a draw had a probability of 23.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Red Bull Salzburg win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.08%) and 0-2 (5.58%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 2-1 (8.25%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.

Result
FreiburgDrawRed Bull Salzburg
37%23.83%39.17%
Both teams to score 62.1%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.96%40.04%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.59%62.4%
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.27%21.72%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.11%54.89%
Red Bull Salzburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.33%20.66%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.75%53.25%
Score Analysis
    Freiburg 37%
    Red Bull Salzburg 39.17%
    Draw 23.82%
FreiburgDrawRed Bull Salzburg
2-1 @ 8.25%
1-0 @ 6.85%
2-0 @ 5.23%
3-1 @ 4.2%
3-2 @ 3.31%
3-0 @ 2.66%
4-1 @ 1.6%
4-2 @ 1.26%
4-0 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 37%
1-1 @ 10.8%
2-2 @ 6.5%
0-0 @ 4.49%
3-3 @ 1.74%
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 23.82%
1-2 @ 8.52%
0-1 @ 7.08%
0-2 @ 5.58%
1-3 @ 4.48%
2-3 @ 3.42%
0-3 @ 2.93%
1-4 @ 1.77%
2-4 @ 1.35%
0-4 @ 1.16%
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 39.17%