International Friendlies
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Ffralog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fivolog.png)
-
Rayan Cherki
45'
-
Franck Kessié
45'+1'
-
Guela Doué
53'
-
Amad Diallo
84'
France vs Ivory Coast - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F36%2Fdidier-deschamps.jpg)
Predicted Lineups
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2Fuploads%2F2025%2F11%2Fzuma-press-wire-kylian-mbappe-of-france-celebrates-scoring-on-november-13-2025-69165aca56627788862213.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a France win with a probability of 55.61%. A draw had a probability of 25.52% and a win for Ivory Coast had a probability of 18.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a France win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.21%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.19%) , while for a Ivory Coast win it was 0-1 (6.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
Result
France
55.61%
▼
(-0.29)
Draw
25.52%
▲
(+0.18)
Ivory Coast
18.83%
▲
(+0.07)
Both Teams to Score:
47.2%
▲
(+0.02)
Goals
Over 1.5
73.03%
▼
(-0.13)
Under 1.5
26.97%
▲
(+0.12)
Over 2.5
47.72%
▼
(-0.11)
Under 2.5
52.28%
▲
(+0.11)
Over 3.5
26.09%
▼
(-0.22)
Under 3.5
73.91%
▲
(+0.21)
Over 4.5
15.3%
▼
(-0.14)
Under 4.5
84.7%
▲
(+0.15)
First Half Winner
France
38.08%
▼
(-0.25)
Draw
42.02%
▲
(+0.15)
Ivory Coast
19.9%
▲
(+0.11)
Team To Score First
France
60.47%
▼
(-0.18)
No Goal
7.61%
▲
(+0.09)
Ivory Coast
31.92%
▲
(+0.10)
Corners
Over 8
45.34%
▲
(+0.55)
Equal 8
10.76%
Under 8
43.9%
▼
(-0.54)
Over 9
35.33%
▲
(+0.50)
Equal 9
10.01%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 9
54.66%
▼
(-0.55)
Over 10.5
26.7%
▲
(+0.43)
Under 10.5
73.3%
▼
(-0.44)
France Goals
Over 1.5
49.37%
▼
(-0.23)
Under 1.5
50.63%
▲
(+0.23)
Over 2.5
23.69%
▼
(-0.14)
Under 2.5
76.31%
▲
(+0.15)
Over 3.5
9.65%
▼
(-0.07)
Under 3.5
90.35%
▲
(+0.06)
Ivory Coast Goals
Over 0.5
53.92%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 0.5
46.08%
▼
(-0.03)
Over 1.5
20.75%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 1.5
79.25%
▼
(-0.05)
Over 2.5
5.86%
▲
(+0.05)
Under 2.5
94.14%
▼
(-0.05)
Over 3.5
1.51%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 3.5
98.49%
▼
(-0.02)
Score analysis
France
55.61%
Draw
25.53%
Ivory Coast
18.82%
France
1-0
@
13.11%
▼
(-0.03)
2-0 @ 10.21% ▼ (-0.05)
2-1 @ 9.81% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 5.77% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 4.96% ▼ (-0.06)
3-2 @ 2.41% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 9.34% ▼ (-0.09)
Total : 55.61%
2-0 @ 10.21% ▼ (-0.05)
2-1 @ 9.81% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 5.77% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 4.96% ▼ (-0.06)
3-2 @ 2.41% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 9.34% ▼ (-0.09)
Total : 55.61%
Draw
1-1
@
12.19%
▲
(+0.04)
0-0 @ 7.61% ▲ (+0.09)
2-2 @ 4.52% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.31% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 25.53%
0-0 @ 7.61% ▲ (+0.09)
2-2 @ 4.52% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.31% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 25.53%
Ivory Coast
0-1
@
6.21%
▲
(+0.02)
1-2 @ 5.04% ▲ (+0.05)
0-2 @ 2.92% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.31% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.14% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 1%
Other @ 1.2% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 18.82%
1-2 @ 5.04% ▲ (+0.05)
0-2 @ 2.92% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.31% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.14% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 1%
Other @ 1.2% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 18.82%
Head to Head
International Friendlies
-
Olivier Giroud
22'
-
Aurelien Tchouameni
90'+3'
-
Jean Michael Seri
7'
-
Nicolas Pepe
19'
-
Karim Konate
90'
International Friendlies
-
Serey Die
4'