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Fiorentina logo
Serie A | Gameweek 15
Nov 30, 2021 at 5.30pm UK
Stadio Artemio Franchi
Sampdoria logo
Fiorentina
3 - 1
Sampdoria
Callejon (23'), Vlahovic (32'), Sottil (45')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Gabbiadini (15')
Gabbiadini (42'), Colley (74'), Ferrari (82')

Preview: Fiorentina vs. Sampdoria - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Serie A clash between Fiorentina and Sampdoria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Sampdoria will look to add a third straight Serie A victory on Tuesday, when they travel to Fiorentina.

The hosts remain seventh in the Italian top flight following an inconsistent run, while their visitors have climbed to 15th spot thanks to their improvement.


Match preview

Fiorentina coach Vincenzo Italiano pictured on September 21, 2021© Reuters

A defeat to Empoli last time out left Fiorentina in seventh place, after they looked set to pick up all three points from the away trip.

Vincenzo Italiano's side led 1-0 through Dusan Vlahovic heading into the final five minutes, only for Filippo Bandinelli to draw the hosts level and Andrea Pinamonti to hit the winner two minutes later to cruelly deny the away side any points.

That followed an eye-catching 4-3 win over title-chasing AC Milan, as Alfred Duncan, Riccardo Saponara and Vlahovic put them three goals ahead, before the latter added an insurance goal when their lead looked to be under pressure.

The problem for I Viola has been consistency, with Italiano's men having now alternated between defeats and victories for the last seven outings, failing to capitalise on slips from the likes of Roma in the top five as a result.

They will now hope to correct their form and make an important return to winning ways on Tuesday to act as the foundations for long-term improvement.

Sampdoria coach Roberto D'Aversa gives instructions to his players on September 26, 2021© Reuters

The visitors arrive with renewed confidence, having arrested a slump with back-to-back wins.

Sampdoria headed into the recent international break on the back of consecutive defeats to Atalanta, Torino and Bologna, leaving them in the drop zone with just nine points from their opening 12 games.

Roberto D'Aversa's side have returned from the break in style though, firstly posting their third win of the season last Sunday as a Francesco Di Tacchio own goal and an Antonio Candreva finish saw them hand fellow strugglers Salernitana a 2-0 defeat.

I Blucerchiati then made it back-to-back victories at the weekend, with Candreva again on the scoresheet alongside Albin Ekdal and Nicola Murru as they overturned a one-goal deficit to beat Hellas Verona 3-1 on home soil.

Having now risen to 15th spot thanks to their impressive rebound, D'Aversa's men will be keen to continue building momentum with what would be an impressive away result on Tuesday.

Fiorentina Serie A form:
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • L

Sampdoria Serie A form:
  • W
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • W



Team News

 Fiorentina's Dusan Vlahovic reacts, November 20, 2021© Reuters

Fiorentina will remain without centre-back Majita Nastasic and midfielder Erick Pulgar due to injuries, but they did welcome defender Nikola Milenkovic back last time out after a suspension.

Croatian forward Dusan Vlahovic has attracted plenty of attention from across Europe so far this campaign, having hit a league-high tally of 11 goals in 14 Serie A appearances, and he will continue to lead the line with confidence.

He could again be flanked by Riccardo Saponara and Jose Callejon, although Nicolas Gonzalez will also be keen to feature in the front three.

Having recording back-to-back wins heading into Tuesday, Sampdoria may again field an unchanged side after the same starting XI secured all three points last time out.

Winger Antonio Candreva will continue to be a key man in the attack, having found the net in both victories, while Francesco Caputo and veteran Fabio Quagliarella should again be trusted to lead the line.

Fiorentina possible starting lineup:
Terracciano; Odriozola, Milenkovic, L Martinez, Biraghi; Bonaventura, Torreira, Duncan; N Gonzalez, Vlahovic, Saponara

Sampdoria possible starting lineup:
Audero; Bereszynski, Ferrari, Colley, Augello; Candreva, Thorsby, Ekdal, Verre; Caputa, Quagliarella


SM words green background

We say: Fiorentina 1-1 Sampdoria

While Fiorentina's fluctuating form shows they tend to bounce back well from the setback of a defeat, they take on a Sampdoria side full of confidence on Tuesday.

Vlahovic is bound to cause problems for the visitors, but we back I Blucerchiati to leave with a hard-fought point as their improvement continues.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 3.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 3.5:curl



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 51.11%. A win for Sampdoria had a probability of 24.84% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.65%) and 2-0 (8.71%). The likeliest Sampdoria win was 0-1 (6.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Fiorentina vs Sampdoria

Fiorentina
65.4%
Draw
27.9%
Sampdoria
6.6%
136
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2AC Milan29195555332262
3Juventus29178444232159
4Bologna29159542251754
5Roma29156855352051
6Atalanta BCAtalanta28145951321947
7Napoli29129844331145
8Fiorentina2812794132943
9Lazio29134123633343
10Monza2911993236-442
11Torino29101182826241
12Genoa29810113136-534
13Lecce29610132645-1928
14Udinese29415102844-1627
15Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2968152639-1326
16CagliariCagliari2968152950-2126
17Empoli2967162243-2125
18FrosinoneFrosinone2966173760-2324
19SassuoloSassuolo2965183356-2323
20Salernitana2928192359-3614

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