FA Trophy
Aug 29, 2026 3.00pm
Lyme Valley Stadium

Newcastle Town vs Bourne Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Newcastle Town

All competitions

Bourne Town

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Newcastle Town win with a probability of 49.59%. A win for Bourne Town has a probability of 27.19% and a draw has a probability of 23.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle Town win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.83%) and 2-0 (7.51%). The likeliest Bourne Town win is 1-2 (6.29%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.33%).

Result

Newcastle Town 49.59% (+0.08)
Draw 23.22% (-0.02)
Bourne Town 27.19% (-0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.46% (+0.03)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.26% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 21.74% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 56.25% (+0.07)
Under 2.5 43.75% (-0.07)
Over 3.5 34.74% (+0.06)
Under 3.5 65.21% (-0.11)
Over 4.5 21.67% (+0.04)
Under 4.5 78.33% (-0.04)

First Half Winner

Newcastle Town 36.19% (+0.04)
Draw 41.32%
Bourne Town 22.48% (-0.06)

Team To Score First

Newcastle Town 54.27% (+0.04)
No Goal 6.2% (-0.01)
Bourne Town 39.53% (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 44.52% (-0.01)
Equal 8 11.26% (-0.01)
Under 8 44.22% (+0.02)
Over 9 34.14% (-0.01)
Equal 9 10.37% (-0.02)
Under 9 55.48% (+0.01)
Over 10.5 25.3%
Under 10.5 74.7%

Newcastle Town Goals

Over 1.5 49.22% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 50.78% (-0.07)
Over 2.5 25.4% (+0.06)
Under 2.5 74.6% (-0.07)
Over 3.5 10.91% (+0.06)
Under 3.5 89.09% (-0.05)

Bourne Town Goals

Over 0.5 61.46% (-0.07)
Under 0.5 38.54% (+0.07)
Over 1.5 30.88% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 69.12% (+0.05)
Over 2.5 11.98% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 88.02% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 4.3% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 95.7% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Newcastle Town 49.58%
Draw 23.22%
Bourne Town 27.18%
Newcastle Town
1-0 @ 9.32%
2-1 @ 8.83%
2-0 @ 7.51%
3-1 @ 5.22% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.83% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.21% (-0.02)
Other @ 10.66% (+0.06)
Total : 49.58%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.33% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 6.2% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.21%
3-3 @ 1.23%
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 23.22%
Bourne Town
1-2 @ 6.29% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 6.2% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 4.19% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.63%
2-3 @ 2.27%
0-3 @ 1.55%
Other @ 4.05% (-0.01)
Total : 27.18%