FA Trophy
Aug 29, 2026 3.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT Lyme Valley Stadium
  • goal Connor Furey 41'
  • goal Aaron Eyett 45'+3'
  • goal 48'

Newcastle Town vs Bourne Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Newcastle Town

All competitions

Bourne Town

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle Town win with a probability of 49.64%. A win for Bourne Town had a probability of 27.14% and a draw had a probability of 23.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.83%) and 2-0 (7.53%). The likeliest Bourne Town win was 1-2 (6.28%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.

Result

Newcastle Town 49.64% ▲ (+0.05)
Draw 23.22%
Bourne Town 27.14% ▼ (-0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.36% ▼ (-0.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.18% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 1.5 21.82% ▲ (+0.09)
Over 2.5 56.15% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 2.5 43.85% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 3.5 34.66% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 3.5 65.34% ▲ (+0.14)
Over 4.5 21.6% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 4.5 78.4% ▲ (+0.08)

First Half Winner

Newcastle Town 36.18% ▼ (-0.01)
Draw 41.34% ▲ (+0.03)
Bourne Town 22.47% ▼ (-0.02)

Team To Score First

Newcastle Town 54.33% ▲ (+0.06)
No Goal 6.22% ▲ (+0.02)
Bourne Town 39.45% ▼ (-0.08)

Corners

Over 8 44.53% ▲ (+0.01)
Equal 8 11.26%
Under 8 44.21% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 9 34.16% ▲ (+0.02)
Equal 9 10.37%
Under 9 55.47% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 10.5 25.32% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 10.5 74.68% ▼ (-0.02)

Newcastle Town Goals

Over 1.5 49.2% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 50.8% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 2.5 25.38% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 2.5 74.62% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 3.5 10.88% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 3.5 89.12% ▲ (+0.04)

Bourne Town Goals

Over 0.5 61.4% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 0.5 38.6% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 1.5 30.8% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 1.5 69.2% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 2.5 11.93% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 2.5 88.07% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 3.5 4.28% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 95.72% ▲ (+0.02)

Score analysis

Newcastle Town 49.65%
Draw 23.21%
Bourne Town 27.14%
Newcastle Town
1-0 @ 9.38% ▲ (+0.07)
2-1 @ 8.83%
2-0 @ 7.53% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 5.23% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 4.84% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.21%
Other @ 10.63% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 49.65%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.32% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 6.22% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 5.2% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.22% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 23.21%
Bourne Town
1-2 @ 6.28% ▼ (-0.01)
0-1 @ 6.22% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 4.18% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 2.63%
2-3 @ 2.26% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.54% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 4.03% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 27.14%