FA Cup
Aug 8, 2026 3.00pm
Lyme Valley Stadium

Newcastle Town vs Atherstone Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Newcastle Town

All competitions

Atherstone Town

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Newcastle Town win with a probability of 45.38%. A win for Atherstone Town has a probability of 32.18% and a draw has a probability of 22.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle Town win is 1-0 with a probability of 8.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.02%) and 2-0 (6.71%). The likeliest Atherstone Town win is 1-2 (6.73%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.68%).

Result

Newcastle Town 45.38% (-0.28)
Draw 22.39% (+0.09)
Atherstone Town 32.18% (+0.15)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.91% (-0.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.13% (-0.25)
Under 1.5 21.87% (+0.25)
Over 2.5 56.82% (-0.32)
Under 2.5 43.18% (+0.32)
Over 3.5 35.7% (-0.23)
Under 3.5 64.3% (+0.24)
Over 4.5 23.12% (-0.22)
Under 4.5 76.88% (+0.22)

First Half Winner

Newcastle Town 31.86% (-0.09)
Draw 42.15% (-0.08)
Atherstone Town 25.99% (+0.14)

Team To Score First

Newcastle Town 48.77% (-0.06)
No Goal 6.7% (+0.05)
Atherstone Town 44.53% (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 47.55% (-0.48)
Equal 8 11.42% (-0.02)
Under 8 41.03% (+0.50)
Over 9 36.8% (-0.41)
Equal 9 10.76% (-0.07)
Under 9 52.45% (+0.48)
Over 10.5 27.43% (-0.33)
Under 10.5 72.57% (+0.33)

Newcastle Town Goals

Over 1.5 45.51% (-0.36)
Under 1.5 54.49% (+0.36)
Over 2.5 23.28% (-0.29)
Under 2.5 76.72% (+0.29)
Over 3.5 10.42% (-0.18)
Under 3.5 89.58% (+0.18)

Atherstone Town Goals

Over 0.5 63.55% (+0.08)
Under 0.5 36.45% (-0.08)
Over 1.5 34.6%
Under 1.5 65.4%
Over 2.5 14.84% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 85.16% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 6.09% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 93.91% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Newcastle Town 45.38%
Draw 22.38%
Atherstone Town 32.18%
Newcastle Town
1-0 @ 8.4% (+0.04)
2-1 @ 8.02% (-0.05)
2-0 @ 6.71% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.54% (-0.04)
3-0 @ 4.2% (-0.05)
3-2 @ 3.13% (-0.02)
Other @ 10.38% (-0.17)
Total : 45.38%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.68% (+0.07)
0-0 @ 6.7% (+0.05)
2-2 @ 4.97% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.04% (-0.02)
Total : 22.38%
Atherstone Town
1-2 @ 6.73% (+0.02)
0-1 @ 6.71% (+0.09)
0-2 @ 4.93% (+0.05)
1-3 @ 3.06% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.53%
0-3 @ 2.17%
Other @ 6.05% (-0.01)
Total : 32.18%