FA Cup
Newcastle Town vs Atherstone Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle Town win with a probability of 45.38%. A win for Atherstone Town had a probability of 32.18% and a draw had a probability of 22.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.02%) and 2-0 (6.71%). The likeliest Atherstone Town win was 1-2 (6.73%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.
Result
Newcastle Town
45.38%
▼
(-0.28)
Draw
22.39%
▲
(+0.09)
Atherstone Town
32.18%
▲
(+0.15)
Both Teams to Score:
52.91%
▼
(-0.11)
Goals
Over 1.5
78.13%
▼
(-0.25)
Under 1.5
21.87%
▲
(+0.25)
Over 2.5
56.82%
▼
(-0.32)
Under 2.5
43.18%
▲
(+0.32)
Over 3.5
35.7%
▼
(-0.23)
Under 3.5
64.3%
▲
(+0.24)
Over 4.5
23.12%
▼
(-0.22)
Under 4.5
76.88%
▲
(+0.22)
First Half Winner
Newcastle Town
31.86%
▼
(-0.09)
Draw
42.15%
▼
(-0.08)
Atherstone Town
25.99%
▲
(+0.14)
Team To Score First
Newcastle Town
48.77%
▼
(-0.06)
No Goal
6.7%
▲
(+0.05)
Atherstone Town
44.53%
▲
(+0.01)
Corners
Over 8
47.55%
▼
(-0.48)
Equal 8
11.42%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 8
41.03%
▲
(+0.50)
Over 9
36.8%
▼
(-0.41)
Equal 9
10.76%
▼
(-0.07)
Under 9
52.45%
▲
(+0.48)
Over 10.5
27.43%
▼
(-0.33)
Under 10.5
72.57%
▲
(+0.33)
Newcastle Town Goals
Over 1.5
45.51%
▼
(-0.36)
Under 1.5
54.49%
▲
(+0.36)
Over 2.5
23.28%
▼
(-0.29)
Under 2.5
76.72%
▲
(+0.29)
Over 3.5
10.42%
▼
(-0.18)
Under 3.5
89.58%
▲
(+0.18)
Atherstone Town Goals
Over 0.5
63.55%
▲
(+0.08)
Under 0.5
36.45%
▼
(-0.08)
Over 1.5
34.6%
Under 1.5
65.4%
Over 2.5
14.84%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 2.5
85.16%
▲
(+0.02)
Over 3.5
6.09%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 3.5
93.91%
▲
(+0.02)
Score analysis
Newcastle Town
45.38%
Draw
22.38%
Atherstone Town
32.18%
Newcastle Town
1-0
@
8.4%
▲
(+0.04)
2-1 @ 8.02% ▼ (-0.05)
2-0 @ 6.71% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.54% ▼ (-0.04)
3-0 @ 4.2% ▼ (-0.05)
3-2 @ 3.13% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 10.38% ▼ (-0.17)
Total : 45.38%
2-1 @ 8.02% ▼ (-0.05)
2-0 @ 6.71% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.54% ▼ (-0.04)
3-0 @ 4.2% ▼ (-0.05)
3-2 @ 3.13% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 10.38% ▼ (-0.17)
Total : 45.38%
Draw
1-1
@
9.68%
▲
(+0.07)
0-0 @ 6.7% ▲ (+0.05)
2-2 @ 4.97% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.04% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 22.38%
0-0 @ 6.7% ▲ (+0.05)
2-2 @ 4.97% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.04% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 22.38%
Atherstone Town
1-2
@
6.73%
▲
(+0.02)
0-1 @ 6.71% ▲ (+0.09)
0-2 @ 4.93% ▲ (+0.05)
1-3 @ 3.06% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.53%
0-3 @ 2.17%
Other @ 6.05% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 32.18%
0-1 @ 6.71% ▲ (+0.09)
0-2 @ 4.93% ▲ (+0.05)
1-3 @ 3.06% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.53%
0-3 @ 2.17%
Other @ 6.05% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 32.18%