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FA Cup

FA Cup | First Round Qualifying
Aug 31, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Coach and Horses Ground (Dronfield, North East Derbyshire)

Sheffield
5 - 0
Pontefract Collieries

Watson (39')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the FA Cup First Round Qualifying clash between Sheffield and Pontefract Collieries.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sheffield

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Last Game: Sheffield 3-2 Clitheroe
Tuesday, August 20 at 7.45pm in FA Cup
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Pontefract Collieries

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Last Game: Pontefract Collieries 3-0 Redcar Athletic
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in FA Cup
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pontefract Collieries win with a probability of 54.67%. A win for Sheffield had a probability of 24.16% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pontefract Collieries win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.23%) and 0-1 (6.99%). The likeliest Sheffield win was 2-1 (6.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.23%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.

Result
SheffieldDrawPontefract Collieries
24.16% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)21.17% (0.0030000000000001 0)54.67% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 64% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.77% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)34.23% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.88% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)56.12% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Sheffield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.28% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)26.72% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.01%61.98% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Pontefract Collieries Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.34% (-0.0099999999999909 -0.01)12.65% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.18% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)38.81% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Sheffield 24.16%
    Pontefract Collieries 54.67%
    Draw 21.17%
SheffieldDrawPontefract Collieries
2-1 @ 6.09% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-0 @ 4.46% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-0 @ 2.95% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 2.77% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-1 @ 2.68% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 1.3% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 0.91%
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 24.16%
1-1 @ 9.23% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 6.29%
0-0 @ 3.38% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-3 @ 1.91%
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 21.17%
1-2 @ 9.53% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 7.23%
0-1 @ 6.99% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 6.57% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 4.98% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-3 @ 4.34% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-4 @ 3.4% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-4 @ 2.57% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-4 @ 2.24% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-5 @ 1.4% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-5 @ 1.06% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-4 @ 0.99%
2-5 @ 0.93% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 54.67%