FA Cup | Preliminary Round
Aug 17, 2024 at 3pm UK
Skinner Lane

Pontefract Collieries
3 - 0
Redcar Athletic

FT
Coverage of the FA Cup Preliminary Round clash between Pontefract Collieries and Redcar Athletic.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Consett AFC 2-3 Redcar Athletic
Saturday, August 3 at 3pm in FA Cup
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pontefract Collieries win with a probability of 77.52%. A draw had a probability of 13.1% and a win for Redcar Athletic had a probability of 9.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pontefract Collieries win was 3-1 with a probability of 8.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.19%) and 3-0 (8.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.42%), while for a Redcar Athletic win it was 1-2 (2.75%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pontefract Collieries would win this match.

Result
Pontefract CollieriesDrawRedcar Athletic
77.52% (0.111 0.11)13.05% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)9.43% (-0.028 -0.03)
Both teams to score 60.57% (0.296 0.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
76.66% (0.36799999999999 0.37)23.33% (-0.369 -0.37)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
57.29% (0.491 0.49)42.71% (-0.493 -0.49)
Pontefract Collieries Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
95.12% (0.090000000000003 0.09)4.88% (-0.092000000000001 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
80.38% (0.273 0.27)19.62% (-0.275 -0.28)
Redcar Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.68% (0.25 0.25)36.32% (-0.252 -0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.89% (0.252 0.25)73.11% (-0.253 -0.25)
Score Analysis
    Pontefract Collieries 77.52%
    Redcar Athletic 9.43%
    Draw 13.05%
Pontefract CollieriesDrawRedcar Athletic
3-1 @ 8.24% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-1 @ 8.19% (-0.051 -0.05)
3-0 @ 8.14% (-0.057 -0.06)
2-0 @ 8.08% (-0.106 -0.11)
4-1 @ 6.22% (0.037000000000001 0.04)
4-0 @ 6.14% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-0 @ 5.35% (-0.104 -0.1)
3-2 @ 4.17% (0.028 0.03)
5-1 @ 3.76% (0.045 0.04)
5-0 @ 3.71% (0.02 0.02)
4-2 @ 3.15% (0.04 0.04)
5-2 @ 1.9% (0.036 0.04)
6-1 @ 1.89% (0.035 0.03)
6-0 @ 1.87% (0.021 0.02)
4-3 @ 1.06% (0.021 0.02)
6-2 @ 0.96% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 4.67%
Total : 77.52%
1-1 @ 5.42% (-0.068 -0.07)
2-2 @ 4.15% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-0 @ 1.77% (-0.046 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.41% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 13.05%
1-2 @ 2.75% (-0.015 -0.01)
0-1 @ 1.8% (-0.034 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.4% (0.01 0.01)
1-3 @ 0.93% (0.001 0)
0-2 @ 0.91% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 1.65%
Total : 9.43%

Form Guide
Sorry, no data available for Pontefract Collieries