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FA Cup

FA Cup | First Round Qualifying
Aug 31, 2024 at 3pm UK
HD Anywhere Stadium

Malvern Town
0 - 1
Cleethorpes Town

FT
Coverage of the FA Cup First Round Qualifying clash between Malvern Town and Cleethorpes Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Malvern Town

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Last Game: Hinckley AFC 2-5 Malvern Town
Friday, August 16 at 7.45pm in FA Cup
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Cleethorpes Town

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Last Game: Cleethorpes Town 4-0 Quorn
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in FA Cup
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cleethorpes Town win with a probability of 62.18%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Malvern Town had a probability of 18.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cleethorpes Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.08%) and 1-3 (7.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.37%), while for a Malvern Town win it was 2-1 (4.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cleethorpes Town would win this match.

Result
Malvern TownDrawCleethorpes Town
18.61% (0.019000000000002 0.02)19.21% (0.0030000000000001 0)62.18% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)
Both teams to score 62.55% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.63% (0.02300000000001 0.02)32.37% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.01% (0.028000000000006 0.03)53.99% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Malvern Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.55% (0.036999999999992 0.04)30.45% (-0.041 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.34% (0.044000000000004 0.04)66.65% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)
Cleethorpes Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.93%10.07% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.81% (0.0019999999999953 0)33.18% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Score Analysis
    Malvern Town 18.61%
    Cleethorpes Town 62.18%
    Draw 19.21%
Malvern TownDrawCleethorpes Town
2-1 @ 4.98% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-0 @ 3.65% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.26% (0.004 0)
2-0 @ 2.17% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-1 @ 1.97% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.58%
Total : 18.61%
1-1 @ 8.37% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-2 @ 5.71% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-0 @ 3.07% (-0.004 -0)
3-3 @ 1.73% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 19.21%
1-2 @ 9.61% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-2 @ 8.08% (-0.011000000000001 -0.01)
1-3 @ 7.35% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-1 @ 7.04% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
0-3 @ 6.18% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 4.37% (0.0040000000000004 0)
1-4 @ 4.22% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-4 @ 3.55% (-0.004 -0)
2-4 @ 2.51% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-5 @ 1.94%
0-5 @ 1.63% (-0.002 -0)
2-5 @ 1.15% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-4 @ 0.99% (0.001 0)
Other @ 3.56%
Total : 62.18%