FA Cup
Malvern Town vs Hereford Pegasus - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Form, Standings, Stats
Malvern Town
Hereford Pegasus
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malvern Town win with a probability of 45.51%. A win for Hereford Pegasus had a probability of 33.08% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malvern Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.63%) and 1-0 (5.02%). The likeliest Hereford Pegasus win was 1-2 (7.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Malvern Town in this match.
Result
Malvern Town
45.51%
▼
(-0.32)
Draw
21.41%
▲
(+0.15)
Hereford Pegasus
33.08%
▲
(+0.18)
Both Teams to Score:
70.44%
▼
(-0.50)
Goals
Over 2.5
71.2%
▼
(-0.67)
Under 2.5
28.8%
▲
(+0.67)
Over 3.5
50.26%
▼
(-0.82)
Under 3.5
49.74%
▲
(+0.82)
Over 4.5
30.98%
▼
(-0.76)
Under 4.5
69.02%
▲
(+0.76)
Malvern Town Goals
Over 0.5
86.44%
▼
(-0.36)
Under 0.5
13.56%
▲
(+0.36)
Over 1.5
59.35%
▼
(-0.72)
Under 1.5
40.65%
▲
(+0.72)
Hereford Pegasus Goals
Over 0.5
81.49%
▼
(-0.24)
Under 0.5
18.51%
▲
(+0.24)
Over 1.5
50.26%
▼
(-0.40)
Under 1.5
49.74%
▲
(+0.40)
Score analysis
Malvern Town
45.51%
Draw
21.41%
Hereford Pegasus
33.08%
Malvern Town
2-1
@
8.45%
▲
(+0.05)
3-1 @ 5.63% ▼ (-0.05)
1-0 @ 5.02% ▲ (+0.13)
2-0 @ 5.01% ▲ (+0.07)
3-2 @ 4.75% ▼ (-0.08)
3-0 @ 3.34% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 2.81% ▼ (-0.07)
4-2 @ 2.37% ▼ (-0.07)
4-0 @ 1.67% ▼ (-0.03)
4-3 @ 1.33% ▼ (-0.05)
5-1 @ 1.12% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 4.01%
Total : 45.51%
3-1 @ 5.63% ▼ (-0.05)
1-0 @ 5.02% ▲ (+0.13)
2-0 @ 5.01% ▲ (+0.07)
3-2 @ 4.75% ▼ (-0.08)
3-0 @ 3.34% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 2.81% ▼ (-0.07)
4-2 @ 2.37% ▼ (-0.07)
4-0 @ 1.67% ▼ (-0.03)
4-3 @ 1.33% ▼ (-0.05)
5-1 @ 1.12% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 4.01%
Total : 45.51%
Draw
1-1
@
8.46%
▲
(+0.16)
2-2 @ 7.13% ▼ (-0.02)
3-3 @ 2.67% ▼ (-0.07)
0-0 @ 2.51% ▲ (+0.10)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 21.41%
2-2 @ 7.13% ▼ (-0.02)
3-3 @ 2.67% ▼ (-0.07)
0-0 @ 2.51% ▲ (+0.10)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 21.41%
Hereford Pegasus
1-2
@
7.14%
▲
(+0.08)
0-1 @ 4.23% ▲ (+0.14)
1-3 @ 4.01% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 4.01% ▼ (-0.04)
0-2 @ 3.57% ▲ (+0.09)
0-3 @ 2.01% ▲ (+0.04)
1-4 @ 1.69% ▼ (-0.01)
2-4 @ 1.69% ▼ (-0.03)
3-4 @ 1.13% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 3.6%
Total : 33.08%
0-1 @ 4.23% ▲ (+0.14)
1-3 @ 4.01% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 4.01% ▼ (-0.04)
0-2 @ 3.57% ▲ (+0.09)
0-3 @ 2.01% ▲ (+0.04)
1-4 @ 1.69% ▼ (-0.01)
2-4 @ 1.69% ▼ (-0.03)
3-4 @ 1.13% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 3.6%
Total : 33.08%