FA Cup

FA Cup | Extra Preliminary Round

Aug 3, 2024 at 3pm UK

HD Anywhere Stadium

Malvern Town
2 - 1
Hereford Pegasus

Coverage of the FA Cup Extra Preliminary Round clash between Malvern Town and Hereford Pegasus.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malvern Town win with a probability of 45.51%. A win for Hereford Pegasus had a probability of 33.08% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malvern Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.63%) and 1-0 (5.02%). The likeliest Hereford Pegasus win was 1-2 (7.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Malvern Town in this match.

Result
Malvern Town	Draw	Hereford Pegasus
45.51% ( -0.32)	21.41% ( 0.14)	33.08% ( 0.17)

Both teams to score 70.44% (

-0.49)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

71.2% (

-0.66)

28.8% (

0.66)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

50.26% (

-0.82)

49.74% (

0.82)

Malvern Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.44% (

-0.36)

13.56% (

0.36)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.35% (

-0.72)

40.65% (

0.72)

Hereford Pegasus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.49% (

-0.23)

18.51% (

0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.26% (

-0.39)

49.74% (

0.39)

Score Analysis

Malvern Town 45.51%

Hereford Pegasus 33.08%

Draw 21.41%

Malvern Town	Draw	Hereford Pegasus
2-1 @ 8.45% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 5.63% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 5.02% ( 0.13) 2-0 @ 5.01% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 4.75% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 3.34% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.81% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 2.37% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 1.67% ( -0.02) 4-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.05) 5-1 @ 1.12% ( -0.04) 5-2 @ 0.95% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.06% Total : 45.51%	1-1 @ 8.46% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 7.13% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 2.67% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 2.51% ( 0.1) Other @ 0.65% Total : 21.41%	1-2 @ 7.14% ( 0.08) 0-1 @ 4.23% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 4.01% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 4.01% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 3.57% ( 0.09) 0-3 @ 2.01% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 1.69% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.69% ( -0.03) 3-4 @ 1.13% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.6% Total : 33.08%