FA Cup
Aug 11, 2026 7.45pm
3
5
HT : 0 0
FT

Hereford Pegasus vs Lutterworth Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Hereford Pegasus

All competitions

Lutterworth Town

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lutterworth Town win with a probability of 46.38%. A win for Hereford Pegasus had a probability of 33.63% and a draw had a probability of 19.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lutterworth Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 7.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.49%) and 0-2 (5.17%). The likeliest Hereford Pegasus win was 2-1 (6.38%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.54%).

Result

Hereford Pegasus 33.63%
Draw 19.99%
Lutterworth Town 46.38%

Both Teams to Score: 

65%

Goals

Over 1.5 87.43%
Under 1.5 12.57%
Over 2.5 71.28%
Under 2.5 28.72%
Over 3.5 51.06%
Under 3.5 48.94%
Over 4.5 35.41%
Under 4.5 64.59%

First Half Winner

Hereford Pegasus 19.79%
Draw 53.92%
Lutterworth Town 26.29%

Team To Score First

Hereford Pegasus 44.54%
No Goal 3.31%
Lutterworth Town 52.15%

Corners

Over 8 49.63%
Equal 8 11.56%
Under 8 38.82%
Over 9 38.59%
Equal 9 11.04%
Under 9 50.37%
Over 10.5 28.86%
Under 10.5 71.14%

Hereford Pegasus Goals

Over 1.5 42.89%
Under 1.5 57.11%
Over 2.5 22.44%
Under 2.5 77.56%
Over 3.5 10.15%
Under 3.5 89.85%

Lutterworth Town Goals

Over 0.5 77.05%
Under 0.5 22.95%
Over 1.5 54.22%
Under 1.5 45.78%
Over 2.5 31.29%
Under 2.5 68.71%
Over 3.5 15.75%
Under 3.5 84.25%

Score analysis

Hereford Pegasus 33.63%
Draw 19.98%
Lutterworth Town 46.37%
Hereford Pegasus
2-1 @ 6.38%
1-0 @ 4.31%
3-1 @ 3.98%
3-2 @ 3.65%
2-0 @ 3.46%
3-0 @ 2.47%
Other @ 9.38%
Total : 33.63%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.54%
2-2 @ 6.17%
0-0 @ 3.31%
3-3 @ 2.19%
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 19.98%
Lutterworth Town
1-2 @ 7.94%
1-3 @ 5.49%
0-2 @ 5.17%
0-1 @ 4.93%
2-3 @ 4.44%
0-3 @ 3.42%
Other @ 14.98%
Total : 46.37%

Head to Head

FA Cup