Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartpury University win with a probability of 66.37%. A draw had a probability of 17.6% and a win for Nailsea & Tickenham had a probability of 16.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hartpury University win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.94%) and 3-1 (7.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.43%), while for a Nailsea & Tickenham win it was 1-2 (4.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.