FA Cup
Sep 14, 2024 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT Nethermoor Park
  • Will Longbottom 82' goal

Guiseley vs 1874 Northwich - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Guiseley

All competitions

1874 Northwich

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guiseley win with a probability of 68.91%. A draw had a probability of 16.5% and a win for 1874 Northwich had a probability of 14.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Guiseley win was 2-1 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.96%) and 2-0 (7.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.78%), while for a 1874 Northwich win it was 1-2 (3.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Guiseley would win this match.

Result

Guiseley 68.91% (-0.04)
Draw 16.46% (+0.01)
1874 Northwich 14.63% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

64.2% (+0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5 73.54% (+0.07)
Under 2.5 26.46% (-0.06)
Over 3.5 53.2% (+0.08)
Under 3.5 46.8% (-0.08)
Over 4.5 33.73% (+0.08)
Under 4.5 66.27% (-0.08)

Guiseley Goals

Over 0.5 92.96% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 7.04% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 74.28% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 25.72% (-0.02)

1874 Northwich Goals

Over 0.5 69.06% (+0.09)
Under 0.5 30.94% (-0.08)
Over 1.5 32.76% (+0.10)
Under 1.5 67.24% (-0.10)

Score analysis

Guiseley 68.91%
Draw 16.46%
1874 Northwich 14.63%
Guiseley
2-1 @ 9% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 7.96% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 7.67% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 6.78% (-0.02)
1-0 @ 5.78% (-0.02)
4-1 @ 5.28% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 4.67% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 4.5% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 3.1% (+0.01)
5-1 @ 2.8% (+0.01)
5-0 @ 2.39% (-0.01)
5-2 @ 1.64% (+0.01)
6-1 @ 1.24% (+0.01)
4-3 @ 1.21% (+0.01)
6-0 @ 1.06% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.84%
Total : 68.91%
Draw
1-1 @ 6.78% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.28% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 2.18% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.83% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.4%
Total : 16.46%
1874 Northwich
1-2 @ 3.98% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 2.56% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.06% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.56% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 1.5% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 14.63%