Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guiseley win with a probability of 68.91%. A draw had a probability of 16.5% and a win for 1874 Northwich had a probability of 14.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guiseley win was 2-1 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.96%) and 2-0 (7.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.78%), while for a 1874 Northwich win it was 1-2 (3.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Guiseley would win this match.