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FA Cup

FA Cup | First Round Qualifying
Aug 31, 2024 at 3pm UK
Select Security Stadium

1874 Northwich
3 - 2
Stocksbridge

McGowan (15' pen.)
FT(HT: 1-0)
Haslam (69')
Coverage of the FA Cup First Round Qualifying clash between 1874 Northwich and Stocksbridge Park Steels.

Form, Standings, Stats

1874 Northwich

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Last Game: Longridge Town 1-3 1874 Northwich
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in FA Cup
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Stocksbridge Park Steels

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Last Game: Bradford Park Av 2-3 Stocksbridge
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in FA Cup
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stocksbridge Park Steels win with a probability of 60.22%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for 1874 Northwich had a probability of 19.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stocksbridge Park Steels win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.93%) and 0-1 (8.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.4%), while for a 1874 Northwich win it was 2-1 (5.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.

Result
1874 NorthwichDrawStocksbridge Park Steels
19.23%20.54%60.22% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Both teams to score 58.75% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.2% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)37.79%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.95%60.04% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
1874 Northwich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.91% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)33.07%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.32%69.67% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Stocksbridge Park Steels Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.78% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)12.21%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.11% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)37.88%
Score Analysis
    1874 Northwich 19.23%
    Stocksbridge Park Steels 60.22%
    Draw 20.54%
1874 NorthwichDrawStocksbridge Park Steels
2-1 @ 5.2%
1-0 @ 4.47%
2-0 @ 2.47%
3-2 @ 2.02%
3-1 @ 1.92%
3-0 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 19.23%
1-1 @ 9.4%
2-2 @ 5.47%
0-0 @ 4.04%
3-3 @ 1.41%
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 20.54%
1-2 @ 9.88% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
0-2 @ 8.93%
0-1 @ 8.49%
1-3 @ 6.93%
0-3 @ 6.26%
2-3 @ 3.83%
1-4 @ 3.64%
0-4 @ 3.29%
2-4 @ 2.01%
1-5 @ 1.53%
0-5 @ 1.38%
Other @ 4.04%
Total : 60.22%