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FA Cup

FA Cup | First Round Qualifying
Aug 31, 2024 at 3pm UK
Sir Tom Cowie Millfield Ground

Crook Town AFC
2 - 1
Ashington AFC

FT
Coverage of the FA Cup First Round Qualifying clash between Crook Town AFC and Ashington AFC.

Form, Standings, Stats

Crook Town AFC

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Last Game: Penrith 2-3 Crook Town AFC
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in FA Cup
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Ashington AFC

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Last Game: Bishop Auckland 1-2 Ashington AFC
Tuesday, August 20 at 7.45pm in FA Cup
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ashington AFC win with a probability of 48.54%. A win for Crook Town AFC had a probability of 29.63% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ashington AFC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.14%) and 0-2 (6.03%). The likeliest Crook Town AFC win was 2-1 (6.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.

Result
Crook Town AFCDrawAshington AFC
29.63% (1.312 1.31)21.83% (0.086000000000002 0.09)48.54% (-1.397 -1.4)
Both teams to score 66.82% (0.684 0.68)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.28% (0.486 0.49)32.72% (-0.486 -0.49)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.6% (0.56 0.56)54.4% (-0.559 -0.56)
Crook Town AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.73% (1.043 1.04)22.27% (-1.042 -1.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.28% (1.541 1.54)55.72% (-1.539 -1.54)
Ashington AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.97% (-0.277 -0.28)14.03% (0.278 0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.42% (-0.546 -0.55)41.58% (0.548 0.55)
Score Analysis
    Crook Town AFC 29.63%
    Ashington AFC 48.54%
    Draw 21.83%
Crook Town AFCDrawAshington AFC
2-1 @ 6.92% (0.177 0.18)
1-0 @ 4.69% (0.024 0.02)
2-0 @ 3.52% (0.125 0.13)
3-1 @ 3.46% (0.191 0.19)
3-2 @ 3.4% (0.155 0.16)
3-0 @ 1.76% (0.115 0.12)
4-1 @ 1.3% (0.11 0.11)
4-2 @ 1.28% (0.095 0.1)
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 29.63%
1-1 @ 9.22% (-0.046000000000001 -0.05)
2-2 @ 6.8% (0.107 0.11)
0-0 @ 3.12% (-0.082 -0.08)
3-3 @ 2.23% (0.081 0.08)
Other @ 0.46%
Total : 21.83%
1-2 @ 9.05% (-0.137 -0.14)
0-1 @ 6.14% (-0.224 -0.22)
0-2 @ 6.03% (-0.283 -0.28)
1-3 @ 5.93% (-0.151 -0.15)
2-3 @ 4.45% (0.026 0.03)
0-3 @ 3.95% (-0.228 -0.23)
1-4 @ 2.91% (-0.104 -0.1)
2-4 @ 2.19% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.94% (-0.132 -0.13)
1-5 @ 1.14% (-0.053 -0.05)
3-4 @ 1.09% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 3.73%
Total : 48.54%